Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances from Washington's August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun, positioning her for the November general in this R+2 Cook PVI district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability due to Perez's proven ability to hold the seat despite the area's 2024 Trump margin, her established fundraising and name recognition, and the district's gradual leftward shift in recent cycles. Braun, a state Senate leader, faces structural hurdles in a battleground where voter turnout patterns and the absence of a split Democratic field now favor the sitting representative. The race remains one of the cycle's more competitive contests, with polls showing narrow margins and potential for late shifts from campaign spending or national conditions before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WA-03
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WA-03
$27,127 Vol.
$27,127 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
88%
Partido Republicano
11%
$27,127 Vol.
$27,127 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$17,358 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$9,770 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances from Washington's August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun, positioning her for the November general in this R+2 Cook PVI district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability due to Perez's proven ability to hold the seat despite the area's 2024 Trump margin, her established fundraising and name recognition, and the district's gradual leftward shift in recent cycles. Braun, a state Senate leader, faces structural hurdles in a battleground where voter turnout patterns and the absence of a split Democratic field now favor the sitting representative. The race remains one of the cycle's more competitive contests, with polls showing narrow margins and potential for late shifts from campaign spending or national conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$27,127Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances from Washington's August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun, positioning her for the November general in this R+2 Cook PVI district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability due to Perez's proven ability to hold the seat despite the area's 2024 Trump margin, her established fundraising and name recognition, and the district's gradual leftward shift in recent cycles. Braun, a state Senate leader, faces structural hurdles in a battleground where voter turnout patterns and the absence of a split Democratic field now favor the sitting representative. The race remains one of the cycle's more competitive contests, with polls showing narrow margins and potential for late shifts from campaign spending or national conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,127Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances from Washington's August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun, positioning her for the November general in this R+2 Cook PVI district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability due to Perez's proven ability to hold the seat despite the area's 2024 Trump margin, her established fundraising and name recognition, and the district's gradual leftward shift in recent cycles. Braun, a state Senate leader, faces structural hurdles in a battleground where voter turnout patterns and the absence of a split Democratic field now favor the sitting representative. The race remains one of the cycle's more competitive contests, with polls showing narrow margins and potential for late shifts from campaign spending or national conditions before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions