Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do NY-11
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do NY-11
$17,888 Vol.
$17,888 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Democrata
11%
$17,888 Vol.
$17,888 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,286 Vol.
90%
Partido Democrata
$7,602 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$17,888Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,888Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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