Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-16
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-16
$106,983 Vol.
$106,983 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
98%
Partido Republicano
2%
$106,983 Vol.
$106,983 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$52,842 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$54,142 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$106,983Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$106,983Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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