Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan composition, strong Democratic voter registration advantage, and his established record since first winning the seat in 1998. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary process without opposition after it was canceled, while Republican nominee George Marsh faces the structural challenges typical of the area, where Meeks secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the contest as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflecting limited competitive pressure and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or national political realignments capable of altering the baseline. Late developments including candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a low-propensity Republican-leaning segment could theoretically narrow margins, though such scenarios remain remote given historical patterns and current conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NY-05
Vencedor da eleição da casa NY-05
$50,733 Vol.
$50,733 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$50,733 Vol.
$50,733 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$19,290 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$31,443 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan composition, strong Democratic voter registration advantage, and his established record since first winning the seat in 1998. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary process without opposition after it was canceled, while Republican nominee George Marsh faces the structural challenges typical of the area, where Meeks secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the contest as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflecting limited competitive pressure and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or national political realignments capable of altering the baseline. Late developments including candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a low-propensity Republican-leaning segment could theoretically narrow margins, though such scenarios remain remote given historical patterns and current conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$50,733Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan composition, strong Democratic voter registration advantage, and his established record since first winning the seat in 1998. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary process without opposition after it was canceled, while Republican nominee George Marsh faces the structural challenges typical of the area, where Meeks secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the contest as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflecting limited competitive pressure and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or national political realignments capable of altering the baseline. Late developments including candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a low-propensity Republican-leaning segment could theoretically narrow margins, though such scenarios remain remote given historical patterns and current conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,733Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan composition, strong Democratic voter registration advantage, and his established record since first winning the seat in 1998. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary process without opposition after it was canceled, while Republican nominee George Marsh faces the structural challenges typical of the area, where Meeks secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the contest as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflecting limited competitive pressure and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals, redistricting shifts, or national political realignments capable of altering the baseline. Late developments including candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a low-propensity Republican-leaning segment could theoretically narrow margins, though such scenarios remain remote given historical patterns and current conditions ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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