Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding position in New York’s 5th congressional district due to his long incumbency since 1998, the seat’s deep Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indices around D+50, and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Both the Democratic and Republican primaries concluded uncontested in June 2026, leaving Meeks to face Republican nominee George Marsh in the November general election. Meeks holds a substantial fundraising edge with millions raised and cash on hand, while the Republican campaign shows negligible financial activity. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NY-05
Vencedor da eleição da casa NY-05
$63,692 Vol.
$63,692 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
97%
George Marsh (R)
1%
$63,692 Vol.
$63,692 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
$21,390 Vol.
97%
George Marsh (R)
$42,302 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding position in New York’s 5th congressional district due to his long incumbency since 1998, the seat’s deep Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indices around D+50, and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Both the Democratic and Republican primaries concluded uncontested in June 2026, leaving Meeks to face Republican nominee George Marsh in the November general election. Meeks holds a substantial fundraising edge with millions raised and cash on hand, while the Republican campaign shows negligible financial activity. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$63,692Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding position in New York’s 5th congressional district due to his long incumbency since 1998, the seat’s deep Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indices around D+50, and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Both the Democratic and Republican primaries concluded uncontested in June 2026, leaving Meeks to face Republican nominee George Marsh in the November general election. Meeks holds a substantial fundraising edge with millions raised and cash on hand, while the Republican campaign shows negligible financial activity. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,692Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding position in New York’s 5th congressional district due to his long incumbency since 1998, the seat’s deep Democratic lean reflected in partisan voting indices around D+50, and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Both the Democratic and Republican primaries concluded uncontested in June 2026, leaving Meeks to face Republican nominee George Marsh in the November general election. Meeks holds a substantial fundraising edge with millions raised and cash on hand, while the Republican campaign shows negligible financial activity. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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