Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers, positioning him for the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Nashville but preserved a strong Republican tilt, as evidenced by the area's 24-point Trump margin in 2024. With Democrat Victoria Broderick as the opposing nominee following her own primary win, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan voting index and historical results that have delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. A late scandal, significant health development, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few signs of such shifts before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-04
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-04
$38,027 Vol.
$38,027 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
8%
$38,027 Vol.
$38,027 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,445 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$18,581 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers, positioning him for the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Nashville but preserved a strong Republican tilt, as evidenced by the area's 24-point Trump margin in 2024. With Democrat Victoria Broderick as the opposing nominee following her own primary win, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan voting index and historical results that have delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. A late scandal, significant health development, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few signs of such shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,027Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers, positioning him for the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Nashville but preserved a strong Republican tilt, as evidenced by the area's 24-point Trump margin in 2024. With Democrat Victoria Broderick as the opposing nominee following her own primary win, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan voting index and historical results that have delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. A late scandal, significant health development, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few signs of such shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,027Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers, positioning him for the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Nashville but preserved a strong Republican tilt, as evidenced by the area's 24-point Trump margin in 2024. With Democrat Victoria Broderick as the opposing nominee following her own primary win, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan voting index and historical results that have delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins. A late scandal, significant health development, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few signs of such shifts before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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