Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the more reliably Republican seats nationally. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the August 6 Republican primary produced nominee Johnny Garrett, while Democrat Mike Croley advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the district limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,356 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,947 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the more reliably Republican seats nationally. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the August 6 Republican primary produced nominee Johnny Garrett, while Democrat Mike Croley advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the district limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,303Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the more reliably Republican seats nationally. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the August 6 Republican primary produced nominee Johnny Garrett, while Democrat Mike Croley advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the district limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,303Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the more reliably Republican seats nationally. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the August 6 Republican primary produced nominee Johnny Garrett, while Democrat Mike Croley advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the district limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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