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icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama
Política·Japão

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama
Política·Japão

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama

Atsumi Harasawa 50%

Kazuma Nakatani 20%

Yuka Asaka 15%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

Atsumi Harasawa 50%

Kazuma Nakatani 20%

Yuka Asaka 15%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Atsumi Harasawa

Atsumi Harasawa

$513 Vol.

50%

icon for Kazuma Nakatani

Kazuma Nakatani

$70 Vol.

20%

icon for Yuka Asaka

Yuka Asaka

$114 Vol.

15%

icon for Atsushi Fukuyama

Atsushi Fukuyama

$98 Vol.

11%

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The sudden resignation of incumbent Takeharu Yamanaka amid confirmed workplace harassment findings has produced a fragmented field for the October 18 Yokohama mayoral vote, with campaigning set to begin October 4. Lawyer Atsumi Harasawa, backed by the Liberal Democratic Party and business groups, leads implied probabilities at 34.5% on governance and compliance credentials. Former lawmaker Kazuma Nakatani, supported by the Constitutional Democratic Party’s Kanagawa chapter, sits at 19.5% after emphasizing an anti-casino ordinance to block integrated resort bids. Communist Party candidate Yuka Asaka and executive Atsushi Fukuyama trail at 11.0% and 10.5%. The tight spread reflects divided party alignments, competing policy priorities on municipal reform and development, and limited time for any contender to consolidate support ahead of the short official campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$794
Data de Término
18 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The sudden resignation of incumbent Takeharu Yamanaka amid confirmed workplace harassment findings has produced a fragmented field for the October 18 Yokohama mayoral vote, with campaigning set to begin October 4. Lawyer Atsumi Harasawa, backed by the Liberal Democratic Party and business groups, leads implied probabilities at 34.5% on governance and compliance credentials. Former lawmaker Kazuma Nakatani, supported by the Constitutional Democratic Party’s Kanagawa chapter, sits at 19.5% after emphasizing an anti-casino ordinance to block integrated resort bids. Communist Party candidate Yuka Asaka and executive Atsushi Fukuyama trail at 11.0% and 10.5%. The tight spread reflects divided party alignments, competing policy priorities on municipal reform and development, and limited time for any contender to consolidate support ahead of the short official campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$794
Data de Término
18 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Atsumi Harasawa" at 59%, followed by "Kazuma Nakatani" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama" is "Atsumi Harasawa" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kazuma Nakatani" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Yokohama" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.