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Eleições·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver

icon for Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver
Eleições·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver

Ken Sim 37%

Pete Fry 28.8%

Kareem Allam 14%

William Azaroff 5.3%

Polymarket

$176,606 Vol.

Ken Sim 37%

Pete Fry 28.8%

Kareem Allam 14%

William Azaroff 5.3%

Polymarket

$176,606 Vol.

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$30,802 Vol.

37%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$29,584 Vol.

29%

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$65,557 Vol.

14%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$16,843 Vol.

5%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$4,830 Vol.

3%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$3,652 Vol.

2%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$5,145 Vol.

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$3,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$2,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$4,177 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephanie Allen

Stephanie Allen

$687 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$6,491 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$2,768 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.**Recent polling shows a fragmented Vancouver mayoral race heading into the October 17, 2026 election, with incumbent Ken Sim (ABC Vancouver) holding a modest edge among decided voters at around 30% while challengers Pete Fry (Green) and Kareem Allam (Vancouver Liberals) each sit near 19%, followed by Colleen Hardwick at 14%.** A large undecided share (26-34%) and vote splitting across multiple parties keep the contest tight. Sim’s approval remains underwater (28% approve vs. 48% disapprove), yet he draws stronger support from homeowners, a higher-turnout group, while challengers perform better among renters and women. The crowded field of credible candidates from the Greens, Liberals, TEAM, OneCity, COPE, and others prevents any single opponent from consolidating opposition support. A recently added non-binding plebiscite on public safety and addiction services could influence turnout and messaging in the final weeks, though no candidate has consolidated a clear path to a majority. Trader pricing reflects this ongoing uncertainty and demographic splits.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$176,606
Data de Término
17 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.**Recent polling shows a fragmented Vancouver mayoral race heading into the October 17, 2026 election, with incumbent Ken Sim (ABC Vancouver) holding a modest edge among decided voters at around 30% while challengers Pete Fry (Green) and Kareem Allam (Vancouver Liberals) each sit near 19%, followed by Colleen Hardwick at 14%.** A large undecided share (26-34%) and vote splitting across multiple parties keep the contest tight. Sim’s approval remains underwater (28% approve vs. 48% disapprove), yet he draws stronger support from homeowners, a higher-turnout group, while challengers perform better among renters and women. The crowded field of credible candidates from the Greens, Liberals, TEAM, OneCity, COPE, and others prevents any single opponent from consolidating opposition support. A recently added non-binding plebiscite on public safety and addiction services could influence turnout and messaging in the final weeks, though no candidate has consolidated a clear path to a majority. Trader pricing reflects this ongoing uncertainty and demographic splits.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$176,606
Data de Término
17 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Sim" at 37%, followed by "Pete Fry" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver" has generated $176.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver" is "Ken Sim" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Fry" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Vancouver" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.