Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

Polymarket
NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Victor Mellor

$0 Vol.

43%

Stephen Skoly

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, set for September 9, 2026, pits Victor Mellor against Stephen Skoly as the leading contenders to challenge Democratic incumbent Seth Magaziner. Skoly secured the state GOP endorsement at the June convention after the nominating committee’s recommendation, providing ballot placement advantages and party backing. Mellor, a self-funded candidate who raised over $2.8 million largely through personal contributions, opted against pursuing the endorsement and has emphasized his military background and America First positions. With early voting underway and a televised debate scheduled for early September, the contest remains closely balanced as traders weigh party infrastructure against Mellor’s financial resources and limited polling data on voter preferences in the low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
9 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, set for September 9, 2026, pits Victor Mellor against Stephen Skoly as the leading contenders to challenge Democratic incumbent Seth Magaziner. Skoly secured the state GOP endorsement at the June convention after the nominating committee’s recommendation, providing ballot placement advantages and party backing. Mellor, a self-funded candidate who raised over $2.8 million largely through personal contributions, opted against pursuing the endorsement and has emphasized his military background and America First positions. With early voting underway and a televised debate scheduled for early September, the contest remains closely balanced as traders weigh party infrastructure against Mellor’s financial resources and limited polling data on voter preferences in the low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
9 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victor Mellor" at 43%, followed by "Stephen Skoly" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" is "Victor Mellor" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stephen Skoly" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.