Javier Milei leads the 2027 Argentine presidential race in trader pricing due to his consistent edge in national polling as incumbent, where La Libertad Avanza often tops or closely contests Fuerza Patria and named opponents like Axel Kicillof. Recent surveys through August 2026 show Milei ahead in first-round scenarios by margins of 5–12 points in several cases, though runoffs remain tighter or tied depending on the firm. Economic indicators, including continued disinflation and post-2025 midterm gains for his coalition, bolster his position, while Kicillof consolidates Peronist support as Buenos Aires governor and the clearest opposition alternative. Other candidates trail far behind, reflecting limited national viability outside niche bases. Upcoming legislative debates on reforms and any shifts in growth or inflation data could influence sentiment ahead of the October 2027 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJavier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 35%
Sergio Massa 7.4%
Myriam Bregman 2.9%
$644,940 Vol.
$644,940 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
35%

Sergio Massa
7%

Myriam Bregman
3%

Dante Gebel
2%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 35%
Sergio Massa 7.4%
Myriam Bregman 2.9%
$644,940 Vol.
$644,940 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
35%

Sergio Massa
7%

Myriam Bregman
3%

Dante Gebel
2%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Mercado Aberto: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei leads the 2027 Argentine presidential race in trader pricing due to his consistent edge in national polling as incumbent, where La Libertad Avanza often tops or closely contests Fuerza Patria and named opponents like Axel Kicillof. Recent surveys through August 2026 show Milei ahead in first-round scenarios by margins of 5–12 points in several cases, though runoffs remain tighter or tied depending on the firm. Economic indicators, including continued disinflation and post-2025 midterm gains for his coalition, bolster his position, while Kicillof consolidates Peronist support as Buenos Aires governor and the clearest opposition alternative. Other candidates trail far behind, reflecting limited national viability outside niche bases. Upcoming legislative debates on reforms and any shifts in growth or inflation data could influence sentiment ahead of the October 2027 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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