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icon for Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria
Política·Eleição Principal

Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

icon for Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria
Política·Eleição Principal

Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Baba Wali 67%

Abdullahi Usman Maigida 43%

Abdullahi Sharif 43%

Kassim Gana Geidam 24%

Polymarket
NOVO

Baba Wali 67%

Abdullahi Usman Maigida 43%

Abdullahi Sharif 43%

Kassim Gana Geidam 24%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Baba Wali

Baba Wali

$40 Vol.

67%

icon for Abdullahi Usman Maigida

Abdullahi Usman Maigida

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Abdullahi Sharif

Abdullahi Sharif

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Kassim Gana Geidam

Kassim Gana Geidam

$0 Vol.

24%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali, the APC consensus nominee and former Secretary to the Yobe State Government, leads trader sentiment due to the party's long-standing dominance in the state and recent internal consolidation ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election. Governor Mai Mala Buni's term-limited exit has shifted focus to Wali's bureaucratic experience and endorsements from party leaders, including visits to traditional rulers and pledges to sustain prior administrations' policies. Opposition contenders such as Abdullahi Sharif, Abdullahi Usman Maigida of the PDP, and Kassim Gana Geidam of the ADC trail amid limited visible momentum or coalition activity. Recent primaries resolved APC tensions through consensus after disqualifications, reinforcing the frontrunner's position in a state where APC has secured strong majorities in prior cycles. Local government polls scheduled for September 2026 may offer further signals on party machinery.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$40
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali, the APC consensus nominee and former Secretary to the Yobe State Government, leads trader sentiment due to the party's long-standing dominance in the state and recent internal consolidation ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election. Governor Mai Mala Buni's term-limited exit has shifted focus to Wali's bureaucratic experience and endorsements from party leaders, including visits to traditional rulers and pledges to sustain prior administrations' policies. Opposition contenders such as Abdullahi Sharif, Abdullahi Usman Maigida of the PDP, and Kassim Gana Geidam of the ADC trail amid limited visible momentum or coalition activity. Recent primaries resolved APC tensions through consensus after disqualifications, reinforcing the frontrunner's position in a state where APC has secured strong majorities in prior cycles. Local government polls scheduled for September 2026 may offer further signals on party machinery.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$40
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Baba Wali" at 67%, followed by "Abdullahi Usman Maigida" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is "Baba Wali" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abdullahi Usman Maigida" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Yobe, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.