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Política·Primárias

MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Política·Primárias

MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Mariah Lancaster 37.0%

Dominick Pangallo 2.4%

Beth Andres-Beck 1.5%

Kevin Larivee 1.3%

Polymarket

$40,057 Vol.

Mariah Lancaster 37.0%

Dominick Pangallo 2.4%

Beth Andres-Beck 1.5%

Kevin Larivee 1.3%

Polymarket

$40,057 Vol.

Mariah Lancaster

$1,958 Vol.

37%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,253 Vol.

2%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,940 Vol.

13%

Kevin Larivee

$1,602 Vol.

12%

Seth Moulton

$2,055 Vol.

12%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,654 Vol.

1%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,238 Vol.

1%

Rachel Creemers

$2,271 Vol.

<1%

Dan Koh

$5,277 Vol.

54%

John Beccia

$1,830 Vol.

35%

Rick Jakious

$3,551 Vol.

27%

Tram Nguyen

$5,477 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 54.5% implied probability due to his substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised through March—and endorsements from labor groups including the Massachusetts AFL-CIO, alongside prior name recognition from a 2018 congressional bid and White House experience. State Rep. Tram Nguyen follows at 38%, supported by a late-May internal poll showing her at 28% among likely Democratic primary voters versus Koh’s 18%, reflecting her local legislative record and appeal in a crowded field that includes John Beccia, Mariah Lancaster, and others. The September 1 primary timeline and high undecided share in recent surveys keep the race fluid, with trader positioning reflecting Koh’s structural advantages in resources and organization while acknowledging Nguyen’s polling momentum as a potential swing factor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,057
Data de Término
15 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 54.5% implied probability due to his substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised through March—and endorsements from labor groups including the Massachusetts AFL-CIO, alongside prior name recognition from a 2018 congressional bid and White House experience. State Rep. Tram Nguyen follows at 38%, supported by a late-May internal poll showing her at 28% among likely Democratic primary voters versus Koh’s 18%, reflecting her local legislative record and appeal in a crowded field that includes John Beccia, Mariah Lancaster, and others. The September 1 primary timeline and high undecided share in recent surveys keep the race fluid, with trader positioning reflecting Koh’s structural advantages in resources and organization while acknowledging Nguyen’s polling momentum as a potential swing factor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,057
Data de Término
15 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 55%, followed by "Tram Nguyen" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $40.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Dan Koh" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tram Nguyen" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.