**Otzma Yehudit faces disqualification petitions from left-wing parties such as the Democrats, citing alleged incitement to racism, undermining democratic institutions, and ties to Kahanist ideology under Basic Law: The Knesset Section 7A criteria.** The Central Elections Committee rejected these bids in late September 2026, with votes failing to reach the required majority for a ban, allowing the party to submit its slate for the October 27 election. Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and part of the outgoing coalition, has actively pursued similar petitions against Arab lists like Ra’am and the Joint List. The Supreme Court will conduct final review of all committee decisions, consistent with historical patterns where Jewish nationalist parties have rarely faced successful exclusion absent overwhelming evidence. Traders assign an 87.5% probability to “No” reflecting the committee outcome, the party’s established electoral participation, and limited prospects for reversal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
12% chance
NOVO
NOVO
27 out 2026
Sim
12% chance
NOVO
NOVO
27 out 2026
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Otzma Yehudit faces disqualification petitions from left-wing parties such as the Democrats, citing alleged incitement to racism, undermining democratic institutions, and ties to Kahanist ideology under Basic Law: The Knesset Section 7A criteria.** The Central Elections Committee rejected these bids in late September 2026, with votes failing to reach the required majority for a ban, allowing the party to submit its slate for the October 27 election. Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and part of the outgoing coalition, has actively pursued similar petitions against Arab lists like Ra’am and the Joint List. The Supreme Court will conduct final review of all committee decisions, consistent with historical patterns where Jewish nationalist parties have rarely faced successful exclusion absent overwhelming evidence. Traders assign an 87.5% probability to “No” reflecting the committee outcome, the party’s established electoral participation, and limited prospects for reversal.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$40Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Otzma Yehudit faces disqualification petitions from left-wing parties such as the Democrats, citing alleged incitement to racism, undermining democratic institutions, and ties to Kahanist ideology under Basic Law: The Knesset Section 7A criteria.** The Central Elections Committee rejected these bids in late September 2026, with votes failing to reach the required majority for a ban, allowing the party to submit its slate for the October 27 election. Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and part of the outgoing coalition, has actively pursued similar petitions against Arab lists like Ra’am and the Joint List. The Supreme Court will conduct final review of all committee decisions, consistent with historical patterns where Jewish nationalist parties have rarely faced successful exclusion absent overwhelming evidence. Traders assign an 87.5% probability to “No” reflecting the committee outcome, the party’s established electoral participation, and limited prospects for reversal.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otzma Yehudit is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Otzma Yehudit from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Otzma Yehudit’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Otzma Yehudit being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Otzma Yehudit’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Otzma Yehudit is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Otzma Yehudit to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Otzma Yehudit will not qualify, provided Otzma Yehudit’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Otzma Yehudit; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...**Otzma Yehudit faces disqualification petitions from left-wing parties such as the Democrats, citing alleged incitement to racism, undermining democratic institutions, and ties to Kahanist ideology under Basic Law: The Knesset Section 7A criteria.** The Central Elections Committee rejected these bids in late September 2026, with votes failing to reach the required majority for a ban, allowing the party to submit its slate for the October 27 election. Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and part of the outgoing coalition, has actively pursued similar petitions against Arab lists like Ra’am and the Joint List. The Supreme Court will conduct final review of all committee decisions, consistent with historical patterns where Jewish nationalist parties have rarely faced successful exclusion absent overwhelming evidence. Traders assign an 87.5% probability to “No” reflecting the committee outcome, the party’s established electoral participation, and limited prospects for reversal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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