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Israel previsões e probabilidades

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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

32%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$15M Vol.

$426K today

$1M Liq.

320

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

28%

July 31

$4M Vol.

$386K today

$130K Liq.

124

Ends há 14 dias

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

8%

June 30

$15M Vol.

$220K today

$196K Liq.

611

Ends há 14 dias

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

16%

July 31

$8M Vol.

$210K today

$362K Liq.

52

Ends há 14 dias

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

14%

July 31

$3M Vol.

$113K Liq.

43

Ends em 16 dias

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

3%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

57

Ends há 14 dias

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

12%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

183

Ends em 16 dias

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

88%

June 30

$32.7K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

43%

4

$7M Vol.

$259K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

12%

$40.6K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

18%

Lebanon

$65.9K Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

34%

December 31

$632K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

10

Ends há 6 meses

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

16%

$254K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

2%

Lebanon

$434K Vol.

$84.9K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

16%

$216K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

June 30

$78.6K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

8

Ends em 16 dias

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

16%

$177K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

69%

Decrease

$14.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

4%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

354

Ends há 6 meses

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

978

Ends em 16 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 165 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $63.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 32% chance to Benjamin Netanyahu. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.