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IrãO previsões e probabilidades

·
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

97%

October 31

$342M Vol.

$33M today

$2M Liq.

8,498

Ends em 7 meses

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

3%

June 13

$56M Vol.

$5M today

$4M Liq.

1,035

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

29%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$202K Liq.

173

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

94%

July 31

$48M Vol.

$963K today

$366K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

48%

Qatar

$10M Vol.

$959K today

$658K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

12%

$38M Vol.

$720K today

$443K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

51%

Yes

$871K Vol.

$648K today

$4M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

25%

July 31

$8M Vol.

$584K today

$218K Liq.

67

Ends há 15 dias

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$431K today

$321K Liq.

82

Ends em 15 dias

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

42%

$3M Vol.

$427K today

$66.1K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

91%

July 31

$523K Vol.

$407K today

$199K Liq.

16

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$15M Vol.

$343K today

$2M Liq.

121

Ends em 7 meses

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

29%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$222K today

$344K Liq.

192

Ends em 7 meses

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

76%

JD Vance

$287K Vol.

$132K today

$599K Liq.

9

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

15%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$116K today

$174K Liq.

1,071

Ends em 7 meses

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

27%

$371K Vol.

$87.5K today

$40.4K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

9%

December 31

$21M Vol.

$80.3K today

$250K Liq.

420

Ends em 15 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

77%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$58.7K today

$192K Liq.

78

Ends em 15 dias

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$60.0K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

100%

$605K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

31

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IrãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 206 active markets for IrãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $589.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to October 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IrãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.