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FrançA previsões e probabilidades

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Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

44%

$6.1K Vol.

$293 Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$54M Vol.

$421K today

$5M Liq.

425

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

93

Ends em 2 meses

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

112

Ends em 8 meses

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

312

Ends há 4 meses

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

92%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$13.8K Vol.

$297K Liq.

13

Ends em 12 meses

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

88%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$687 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

3

Ends em 12 meses

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

34%

$10.7K Vol.

$473 Liq.

23

Ends há 29 dias

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

9%

$724 Vol.

$48 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Coupe de France: Winner

Coupe de France: Winner

67%

Lens

$4.4K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$834K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

France vs. Senegal

France vs. Senegal

69%

France

$2.2K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

France vs. Iraq

France vs. Iraq

72%

France

$173 Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

84%

Mandatory

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

51%

WIP Esports

$0 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Norway vs. France

Norway vs. France

52%

France

$57 Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice

Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice

57%

Racing Club de Lens

$330 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

95%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$264K today

$516K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

34%

Harry Kane

$3M Vol.

$121K today

$684K Liq.

85

Ends em 6 meses

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

72%

Europe

$2M Vol.

$267K Liq.

15

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like FrançA.

Polymarket currently hosts 179 active markets for FrançA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on FrançA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.