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EUA Irã previsões e probabilidades

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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

52%

June 30

$36M Vol.

$257K today

$479K Liq.

719

Ends em 2 meses

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$83.6K today

$252K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$602K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

16

Ends em 8 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

61%

Pakistan

$3M Vol.

$57.5K today

$354K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

1%

$2M Vol.

$116K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

33%

$1M Vol.

$79.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

56%

$813K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

4%

$384K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

51

Ends em 2 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

58%

May 31

$8M Vol.

$433K today

$277K Liq.

232

Ends em 2 dias

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

<1%

April 22

$86M Vol.

$16M today

$2M Liq.

4,343

Ends há 6 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

40%

June 30

$59M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1,406

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

45%

May 15

$26M Vol.

$1M today

$775K Liq.

5

Ends em 2 dias

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

61%

No Meeting before May 11

$992K Vol.

$163K today

$432K Liq.

16

Ends em 12 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

82%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$143K Liq.

66

Ends em 2 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

2%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$211K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$548K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

2%

Oil Sanction Relief

$3M Vol.

$205K today

$264K Liq.

140

Ends em 2 dias

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

1%

April 30

$276K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

93

Ends em 2 dias

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

13%

$73.4K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

2%

April 30

$465K Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

97

Ends em 2 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for EUA Irã that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $235.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 0% chance to April 22. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EUA Irã predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.