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EUA Irã previsões e probabilidades

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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

61%

June 30

$39M Vol.

$3M today

$414K Liq.

723

Ends em 2 meses

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$162K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$602K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

16

Ends em 8 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

69%

Pakistan

$3M Vol.

$231K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

1%

$2M Vol.

$94.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

35%

$1M Vol.

$93.8K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

54%

$816K Vol.

$118K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

3%

$392K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

51

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

57%

May 31

$8M Vol.

$929K today

$266K Liq.

250

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

<1%

April 22

$101M Vol.

$15M today

$8M Liq.

4,863

Ends há 7 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

44%

June 30

$61M Vol.

$3M today

$1M Liq.

1,415

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

84%

June 30

$27M Vol.

$1M today

$565K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

78%

No Meeting before May 11

$1M Vol.

$175K today

$259K Liq.

19

Ends em 11 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

82%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$134K Liq.

66

Ends em 2 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

Fed Rate Cut

$216K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$548K Vol.

$75.7K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

3%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$3M Vol.

$129K today

$177K Liq.

140

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

3%

April 30

$279K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

93

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

1%

April 30

$470K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

97

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

12%

$73.7K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like EUA Irã.

Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for EUA Irã that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $258.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 0% chance to April 22. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EUA Irã predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.