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Cessar Fogo previsões e probabilidades

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Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

20%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

88

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

978

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

16%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

357

Ends há 4 meses

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$90.1K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$149K Vol.

$261 Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

<1%

Fed Rate Cut

$709K Vol.

$362K today

$182K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

99%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M Vol.

$671K Liq.

844

Ends em 3 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

55%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$6.5K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

65%

Xi / Jinping

$0 Vol.

$755 Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

3%

May 31

$162K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

23

Ends em 18 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

62%

December 31

$110M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

2,218

Ends em 8 meses

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

<1%

$813K Vol.

$86.2K Liq.

15

Ends em 18 dias

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

19%

$457K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

19

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$197K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

37%

$535K Vol.

$65.9K today

$72.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

1%

$784K Vol.

$142K today

$13.4K Liq.

10

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

11%

$350K Vol.

$52.2K today

$27.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

17%

June 30

$827K Vol.

$79.7K Liq.

14

Ends em 18 dias

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

9%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

159

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

22%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cessar Fogo.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Cessar Fogo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $147.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cessar Fogo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.