Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt) and AU have repeatedly proposed humanitarian truces leading to broader ceasefires, yet both SAF and RSF have conditioned acceptance on territorial withdrawals or rejected terms amid accusations of bias and foreign interference. RSF unilaterally announced short-term truces in late 2025, while SAF has advanced militarily in key areas like Khartoum and conditioned talks on RSF pullbacks, reflecting battlefield dynamics and external support flows that sustain fighting. Persistent violence through mid-2026, including around El Obeid, combined with fragmented diplomacy and mutual violations, has prevented lasting agreements despite international conferences and appeals. Traders assess prospects based on whether upcoming coordinated pressure or military stalemates prompt concessions before any resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
Cessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
$119,372 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
13%
$119,372 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$14,833 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt) and AU have repeatedly proposed humanitarian truces leading to broader ceasefires, yet both SAF and RSF have conditioned acceptance on territorial withdrawals or rejected terms amid accusations of bias and foreign interference. RSF unilaterally announced short-term truces in late 2025, while SAF has advanced militarily in key areas like Khartoum and conditioned talks on RSF pullbacks, reflecting battlefield dynamics and external support flows that sustain fighting. Persistent violence through mid-2026, including around El Obeid, combined with fragmented diplomacy and mutual violations, has prevented lasting agreements despite international conferences and appeals. Traders assess prospects based on whether upcoming coordinated pressure or military stalemates prompt concessions before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$119,372Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt) and AU have repeatedly proposed humanitarian truces leading to broader ceasefires, yet both SAF and RSF have conditioned acceptance on territorial withdrawals or rejected terms amid accusations of bias and foreign interference. RSF unilaterally announced short-term truces in late 2025, while SAF has advanced militarily in key areas like Khartoum and conditioned talks on RSF pullbacks, reflecting battlefield dynamics and external support flows that sustain fighting. Persistent violence through mid-2026, including around El Obeid, combined with fragmented diplomacy and mutual violations, has prevented lasting agreements despite international conferences and appeals. Traders assess prospects based on whether upcoming coordinated pressure or military stalemates prompt concessions before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$119,372Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing mediation efforts by the Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt) and AU have repeatedly proposed humanitarian truces leading to broader ceasefires, yet both SAF and RSF have conditioned acceptance on territorial withdrawals or rejected terms amid accusations of bias and foreign interference. RSF unilaterally announced short-term truces in late 2025, while SAF has advanced militarily in key areas like Khartoum and conditioned talks on RSF pullbacks, reflecting battlefield dynamics and external support flows that sustain fighting. Persistent violence through mid-2026, including around El Obeid, combined with fragmented diplomacy and mutual violations, has prevented lasting agreements despite international conferences and appeals. Traders assess prospects based on whether upcoming coordinated pressure or military stalemates prompt concessions before any resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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