Vladimir Putin's constitutional eligibility to serve as Russia's president until 2030, bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting prior term limits, underpins trader consensus pricing an 88.5% implied probability he remains in office through year-end 2026. Recent public appearances, including his April 27 meeting with Iran's foreign minister amid Middle East tensions and an April 28 speech undeterred by a power outage, signal ongoing stability and control. Defense Ministry purges earlier this year reflect elite consolidation rather than fracture, while the Ukraine stalemate persists without eroding his authority. Absent verified health issues, coup signals, or economic collapse triggering no-confidence dynamics, traders see slim paths to sudden removal before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPutin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
Sim
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's constitutional eligibility to serve as Russia's president until 2030, bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting prior term limits, underpins trader consensus pricing an 88.5% implied probability he remains in office through year-end 2026. Recent public appearances, including his April 27 meeting with Iran's foreign minister amid Middle East tensions and an April 28 speech undeterred by a power outage, signal ongoing stability and control. Defense Ministry purges earlier this year reflect elite consolidation rather than fracture, while the Ukraine stalemate persists without eroding his authority. Absent verified health issues, coup signals, or economic collapse triggering no-confidence dynamics, traders see slim paths to sudden removal before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions