Stalled U.S.-Russia diplomacy on the Ukraine conflict, with contacts limited to repeated phone calls rather than confirmed in-person summits, drives the 72.5% trader consensus on no bilateral meeting by December 31. Recent White House statements canceling immediate plans, including a previously floated Budapest venue, combined with competing priorities such as Iran-related developments and NATO security concerns, have kept in-person engagement off the calendar. China leads alternative locations at 19.5% due to its potential role in third-party hosted talks or regional diplomacy, while neutral sites like Switzerland or Gulf states and direct venues in Russia or the United States remain low-probability options reflecting security, logistical, and political constraints on high-level bilateral engagement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 73%
China 20%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.7%
$339,401 Vol.
$339,401 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
73%

China
20%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Other
2%

Switzerland
1%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 73%
China 20%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.7%
$339,401 Vol.
$339,401 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
73%

China
20%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Other
2%

Switzerland
1%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled U.S.-Russia diplomacy on the Ukraine conflict, with contacts limited to repeated phone calls rather than confirmed in-person summits, drives the 72.5% trader consensus on no bilateral meeting by December 31. Recent White House statements canceling immediate plans, including a previously floated Budapest venue, combined with competing priorities such as Iran-related developments and NATO security concerns, have kept in-person engagement off the calendar. China leads alternative locations at 19.5% due to its potential role in third-party hosted talks or regional diplomacy, while neutral sites like Switzerland or Gulf states and direct venues in Russia or the United States remain low-probability options reflecting security, logistical, and political constraints on high-level bilateral engagement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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