Diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Russia has relied primarily on repeated phone calls in 2026, including multiple conversations between Trump and Putin focused on Ukraine, without producing a firm in-person summit date. Earlier 2025 meetings in Alaska and canceled plans for Budapest illustrate how proposals often stall amid ongoing battlefield developments and negotiation impasses. Envoys continue shuttle diplomacy, while multilateral venues such as the December G20 in Miami remain speculative. These factors have shaped trader consensus around a high likelihood of no bilateral meeting by year-end, with secondary probabilities attached to China or other neutral sites if momentum shifts through new diplomatic openings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 80%
China 13%
Russia 2.7%
United States 1.5%
$275,190 Vol.
$275,190 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
80%

China
13%

Russia
3%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 80%
China 13%
Russia 2.7%
United States 1.5%
$275,190 Vol.
$275,190 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
80%

China
13%

Russia
3%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Russia has relied primarily on repeated phone calls in 2026, including multiple conversations between Trump and Putin focused on Ukraine, without producing a firm in-person summit date. Earlier 2025 meetings in Alaska and canceled plans for Budapest illustrate how proposals often stall amid ongoing battlefield developments and negotiation impasses. Envoys continue shuttle diplomacy, while multilateral venues such as the December G20 in Miami remain speculative. These factors have shaped trader consensus around a high likelihood of no bilateral meeting by year-end, with secondary probabilities attached to China or other neutral sites if momentum shifts through new diplomatic openings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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