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LíBano previsões e probabilidades

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Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

100%

April 26

$7M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

2,321

Israel se retira do Líbano por...?

Israel se retira do Líbano por...?

9%

30 de junho

$309K Vol.

$117K Liq.

6

Ends em 2 meses

Contra quantos países Israel realizará uma ação militar em abril?

Contra quantos países Israel realizará uma ação militar em abril?

94%

2

$148K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

8%

30 de junho

$384K Vol.

$78.4K Liq.

10

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Naim Qassem como secretário-geral do Hezbollah por...?

Naim Qassem como secretário-geral do Hezbollah por...?

21%

30 de junho de 2026

$737K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

44

Ends há 28 dias

As forças israelitas atravessam o rio Litani até 30 de junho?

As forças israelitas atravessam o rio Litani até 30 de junho?

43%

Sim

$504K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

125

Ends em 2 meses

As forças israelitas entram em Beirute por...?

As forças israelitas entram em Beirute por...?

1%

30 de abril

$187K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 1 dia

Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?

Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?

25%

Sim

$142K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

7%

May 31

$101K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

16

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares do Líbano

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares do Líbano

9%

Partido Kataeb (Kataeb)

$503K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

10%

May 31

$24.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?

O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?

22%

31 de dezembro

$1M Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

2%

April 30

$30.4K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 1 dia

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

2%

$21.5K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?

Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?

4%

Sim

$11.6K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

18%

$7.0K Vol.

$722 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

43%

$116 Vol.

$110 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíBano.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for LíBano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to April 26. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíBano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.