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Política·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Market icon
Política·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

NOVO
30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$5,155 Vol.

Polymarket

April 17

$1,718 Vol.

2%

April 30

$3,437 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16 after President Trump's talks with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Joseph Aoun, has fueled prospects for direct diplomacy, including a potential White House summit. Aoun deems such engagement crucial for permanent agreements on border security and Hezbollah disarmament but has not confirmed any conversation with Netanyahu, despite earlier refusals absent a truce. Hezbollah opposes the move, threatening Aoun's legitimacy and vowing resistance. Fragile truce faces minor violations, with traders weighing US mediation against Lebanese political pressures and historical absence of bilateral talks since the 1990s.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,155
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16 after President Trump's talks with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Joseph Aoun, has fueled prospects for direct diplomacy, including a potential White House summit. Aoun deems such engagement crucial for permanent agreements on border security and Hezbollah disarmament but has not confirmed any conversation with Netanyahu, despite earlier refusals absent a truce. Hezbollah opposes the move, threatening Aoun's legitimacy and vowing resistance. Fragile truce faces minor violations, with traders weighing US mediation against Lebanese political pressures and historical absence of bilateral talks since the 1990s.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,155
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 30%, followed by "April 17" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is "April 30" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 17" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.