Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, has maintained an extended absence from public view while recovering from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian authorities have issued written statements attributed to him but no verified video, audio, or in-person sightings at official events, consistent with a secretive leadership style amid wartime security threats and internal consolidation efforts involving the IRGC. Recent speculation around a possible appearance at his father's July 14 memorial in Tehran produced no confirmed sighting, aligning with trader consensus pricing July 31 outcomes near 2% and later 2026 dates higher. Structural factors include ongoing regional tensions, health recovery timelines, and regime priorities favoring controlled messaging over visible leadership transitions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?
Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?
$6,118,891 Vol.
31 jul 2026
31 de julho
<1%
31 de agosto
5%
30 de setembro
9%
31 de dezembro
23%
$6,118,891 Vol.
31 de julho
$1,889,161 Vol.
<1%
31 de agosto
$204,091 Vol.
5%
30 de setembro
$158,317 Vol.
9%
31 de dezembro
$170,260 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, has maintained an extended absence from public view while recovering from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian authorities have issued written statements attributed to him but no verified video, audio, or in-person sightings at official events, consistent with a secretive leadership style amid wartime security threats and internal consolidation efforts involving the IRGC. Recent speculation around a possible appearance at his father's July 14 memorial in Tehran produced no confirmed sighting, aligning with trader consensus pricing July 31 outcomes near 2% and later 2026 dates higher. Structural factors include ongoing regional tensions, health recovery timelines, and regime priorities favoring controlled messaging over visible leadership transitions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Volume
$6,118,891Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, has maintained an extended absence from public view while recovering from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian authorities have issued written statements attributed to him but no verified video, audio, or in-person sightings at official events, consistent with a secretive leadership style amid wartime security threats and internal consolidation efforts involving the IRGC. Recent speculation around a possible appearance at his father's July 14 memorial in Tehran produced no confirmed sighting, aligning with trader consensus pricing July 31 outcomes near 2% and later 2026 dates higher. Structural factors include ongoing regional tensions, health recovery timelines, and regime priorities favoring controlled messaging over visible leadership transitions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$6,118,891Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, has maintained an extended absence from public view while recovering from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian authorities have issued written statements attributed to him but no verified video, audio, or in-person sightings at official events, consistent with a secretive leadership style amid wartime security threats and internal consolidation efforts involving the IRGC. Recent speculation around a possible appearance at his father's July 14 memorial in Tehran produced no confirmed sighting, aligning with trader consensus pricing July 31 outcomes near 2% and later 2026 dates higher. Structural factors include ongoing regional tensions, health recovery timelines, and regime priorities favoring controlled messaging over visible leadership transitions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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