Ongoing regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran continue to shape security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A February 2026 drawdown of non-essential personnel reflected precautionary measures amid military buildups and anticipated developments, though core operations persisted. Recent Israeli actions in southern Lebanon, including major demolitions triggering seismic activity, alongside U.S. diplomatic statements emphasizing Lebanese state sovereignty and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, highlight persistent risks of escalation or spillover. Security alerts through early September note complex conditions, potential airspace disruptions, and targeting concerns without ordering full departure. Diplomatic engagement, including U.S.-facilitated talks and embassy support for state authority over war decisions, provides stabilizing signals, while traders monitor any shifts in Iranian proxy activity or Israeli operations for impacts on embassy posture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEUA evacuam Embaixada de Beirute por...?
EUA evacuam Embaixada de Beirute por...?
$119,400 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro
6%
$119,400 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$25,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran continue to shape security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A February 2026 drawdown of non-essential personnel reflected precautionary measures amid military buildups and anticipated developments, though core operations persisted. Recent Israeli actions in southern Lebanon, including major demolitions triggering seismic activity, alongside U.S. diplomatic statements emphasizing Lebanese state sovereignty and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, highlight persistent risks of escalation or spillover. Security alerts through early September note complex conditions, potential airspace disruptions, and targeting concerns without ordering full departure. Diplomatic engagement, including U.S.-facilitated talks and embassy support for state authority over war decisions, provides stabilizing signals, while traders monitor any shifts in Iranian proxy activity or Israeli operations for impacts on embassy posture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,400Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran continue to shape security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A February 2026 drawdown of non-essential personnel reflected precautionary measures amid military buildups and anticipated developments, though core operations persisted. Recent Israeli actions in southern Lebanon, including major demolitions triggering seismic activity, alongside U.S. diplomatic statements emphasizing Lebanese state sovereignty and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, highlight persistent risks of escalation or spillover. Security alerts through early September note complex conditions, potential airspace disruptions, and targeting concerns without ordering full departure. Diplomatic engagement, including U.S.-facilitated talks and embassy support for state authority over war decisions, provides stabilizing signals, while traders monitor any shifts in Iranian proxy activity or Israeli operations for impacts on embassy posture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,400Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran continue to shape security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. A February 2026 drawdown of non-essential personnel reflected precautionary measures amid military buildups and anticipated developments, though core operations persisted. Recent Israeli actions in southern Lebanon, including major demolitions triggering seismic activity, alongside U.S. diplomatic statements emphasizing Lebanese state sovereignty and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, highlight persistent risks of escalation or spillover. Security alerts through early September note complex conditions, potential airspace disruptions, and targeting concerns without ordering full departure. Diplomatic engagement, including U.S.-facilitated talks and embassy support for state authority over war decisions, provides stabilizing signals, while traders monitor any shifts in Iranian proxy activity or Israeli operations for impacts on embassy posture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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