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Hezbollah previsões e probabilidades

·
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

100%

April 26

$13M Vol.

$4M today

$2M Liq.

2,470

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

7%

May 31

$102K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

7%

May 31

$25.4K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

7

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

<1%

April 30

$197K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

3

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

41%

$509K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

125

Ends em 2 meses

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

8%

June 30

$387K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

10

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

41%

June 30

$30.9K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

2

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

22%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

41%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$168K today

$340K Liq.

102

Ends em 8 meses

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

5%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$82.6K today

$131K Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

21%

June 30, 2026

$744K Vol.

$37.1K Liq.

44

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

92%

8–9

$250K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

2%

Leviathan Field

$548K Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

100%

Powell

$23.9K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

3

Ends em 2 dias

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

6%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$504K Vol.

$202K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

10%

June 30

$393K Vol.

$113K Liq.

8

Ends em 2 meses

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

1%

$22.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

60%

$182 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

23%

$144K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hezbollah.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Hezbollah that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $28.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to April 26. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hezbollah predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.