A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?

Name: A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
Start: 2026-03-17T23:33:55.496Z
End: 2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Política·China

A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Sep 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Sep 30

Dec 31

Sim

25% chance

NEW

Dec 31, 2027

Sim

25% chance

NEW

Dec 31, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A China irá invadir Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" is "A China irá invadir Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 25¢ for "A China irá invadir Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" in the "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 25% chance that "A China irá invadir Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 25¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 75¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Dec 31, 2027 — that's roughly over 1 year away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?" market has an active community of 550 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?

A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?

Livro de Pedidos

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Frequently Asked Questions

A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?

A China invadirá Taiwan até 31 de dezembro de 2027?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (550)

Top Holders

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Actividade

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