Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader assessments for 2026 purge targets. Recent actions include the 2026 investigations and removals of Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui on corruption charges, and the September removal of longtime aide Zhong Shaojun from the National People’s Congress. Record ministerial-level probes and the expected expulsion of over 40 Central Committee members at the October Fifth Plenary Session underscore pressure on military-industrial and provincial networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These developments keep implied probabilities for specific individuals low and dispersed across possible candidates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$211,137 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$211,137 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,752 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,008 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,189 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,098 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,739 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader assessments for 2026 purge targets. Recent actions include the 2026 investigations and removals of Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui on corruption charges, and the September removal of longtime aide Zhong Shaojun from the National People’s Congress. Record ministerial-level probes and the expected expulsion of over 40 Central Committee members at the October Fifth Plenary Session underscore pressure on military-industrial and provincial networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These developments keep implied probabilities for specific individuals low and dispersed across possible candidates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$211,137Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader assessments for 2026 purge targets. Recent actions include the 2026 investigations and removals of Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui on corruption charges, and the September removal of longtime aide Zhong Shaojun from the National People’s Congress. Record ministerial-level probes and the expected expulsion of over 40 Central Committee members at the October Fifth Plenary Session underscore pressure on military-industrial and provincial networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These developments keep implied probabilities for specific individuals low and dispersed across possible candidates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$211,137Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape trader assessments for 2026 purge targets. Recent actions include the 2026 investigations and removals of Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui on corruption charges, and the September removal of longtime aide Zhong Shaojun from the National People’s Congress. Record ministerial-level probes and the expected expulsion of over 40 Central Committee members at the October Fifth Plenary Session underscore pressure on military-industrial and provincial networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These developments keep implied probabilities for specific individuals low and dispersed across possible candidates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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