US-Iran negotiations following the June 2025 military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities center on the disposition of Tehran’s roughly 11-ton enriched uranium stockpile, including hundreds of kilograms enriched to 60 percent. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding extended the ceasefire, reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and launched 60-day talks that explicitly address the stockpile through mechanisms such as on-site IAEA-supervised down-blending, with the text leaving open the possibility of later removal but requiring no immediate transfer. US officials have described the framework as leading toward Washington gaining custody, while Iranian statements emphasize keeping material inside the country. The market hinges on whether any quantity reaches actual US physical possession by the December 31, 2026 resolution date rather than mere commitments or dilution in place. Ongoing final-deal talks and verification access remain the primary variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs EUA obtêm urânio enriquecido iraniano por...?
$29,230,421 Vol.
30 de setembro
1%
31 de dezembro
5%
$29,230,421 Vol.
30 de setembro
1%
31 de dezembro
5%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations following the June 2025 military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities center on the disposition of Tehran’s roughly 11-ton enriched uranium stockpile, including hundreds of kilograms enriched to 60 percent. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding extended the ceasefire, reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and launched 60-day talks that explicitly address the stockpile through mechanisms such as on-site IAEA-supervised down-blending, with the text leaving open the possibility of later removal but requiring no immediate transfer. US officials have described the framework as leading toward Washington gaining custody, while Iranian statements emphasize keeping material inside the country. The market hinges on whether any quantity reaches actual US physical possession by the December 31, 2026 resolution date rather than mere commitments or dilution in place. Ongoing final-deal talks and verification access remain the primary variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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