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icon for O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?
Finanças·AAA

O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?

icon for O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?
Finanças·AAA

O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?

ago 31

set 30

ago 31

set 30

NOVO
30 set 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $4.50

$0 Vol.

39%

↑ $4.40

$0 Vol.

46%

↑ $4.30

$0 Vol.

49%

↑ $4.20

$0 Vol.

54%

↓ $4.00

$0 Vol.

55%

↓ $3.90

$0 Vol.

47%

↓ $3.70

$0 Vol.

39%

↓ $3.50

$0 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent declines in WTI crude below $82 per barrel and Brent near $87 have eased input costs for gasoline, supporting expectations that the national average retail price could dip below $4 per gallon by early September amid seasonal demand shifts and early transitions to winter-blend formulations. Low U.S. gasoline inventories—down 7% from five-year averages—have kept crack spreads elevated despite robust domestic production, while geopolitical supply risks from the Middle East and refinery outages continue to influence trader positioning. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging around $3.80 per gallon, with Henry Hub natural gas futures remaining below $3 per MMBtu through September on record storage levels. Key near-term catalysts include Labor Day travel demand and any further oil-price volatility ahead of the September 9 EIA update.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent declines in WTI crude below $82 per barrel and Brent near $87 have eased input costs for gasoline, supporting expectations that the national average retail price could dip below $4 per gallon by early September amid seasonal demand shifts and early transitions to winter-blend formulations. Low U.S. gasoline inventories—down 7% from five-year averages—have kept crack spreads elevated despite robust domestic production, while geopolitical supply risks from the Middle East and refinery outages continue to influence trader positioning. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging around $3.80 per gallon, with Henry Hub natural gas futures remaining below $3 per MMBtu through September on record storage levels. Key near-term catalysts include Labor Day travel demand and any further oil-price volatility ahead of the September 9 EIA update.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $4.00" at 55%, followed by "↑ $4.20" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?" is "↓ $4.00" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $4.20" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O gás atingirá __ até o final de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.