Major left-wing parties have shown limited commitment to the proposed October 2026 United Left primary, with La France Insoumise and Place Publique declining participation from the outset while the Socialist Party faces internal divisions over alliances and candidate selection following the March 2026 municipal elections. Key organizers including representatives from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! have advanced planning, yet the absence of broader coalition support has left the event vulnerable to cancellation under its own rules if multiple founding groups withdraw. Traders reflect this structural fragmentation in current pricing, viewing unified candidate selection ahead of the 2027 presidential election as improbable without renewed cross-party agreement. Late shifts in Socialist positioning or formal withdrawals could still alter the trajectory before the October deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCancelada 92.1%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,724 Vol.
$202,724 Vol.
11 out 2026
Cancelada
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Cancelada 92.1%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,724 Vol.
$202,724 Vol.
11 out 2026
Cancelada
$67,250 Vol.
92%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,561 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,357 Vol.
1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Major left-wing parties have shown limited commitment to the proposed October 2026 United Left primary, with La France Insoumise and Place Publique declining participation from the outset while the Socialist Party faces internal divisions over alliances and candidate selection following the March 2026 municipal elections. Key organizers including representatives from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! have advanced planning, yet the absence of broader coalition support has left the event vulnerable to cancellation under its own rules if multiple founding groups withdraw. Traders reflect this structural fragmentation in current pricing, viewing unified candidate selection ahead of the 2027 presidential election as improbable without renewed cross-party agreement. Late shifts in Socialist positioning or formal withdrawals could still alter the trajectory before the October deadline.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$202,724Data de Término
11 out 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Major left-wing parties have shown limited commitment to the proposed October 2026 United Left primary, with La France Insoumise and Place Publique declining participation from the outset while the Socialist Party faces internal divisions over alliances and candidate selection following the March 2026 municipal elections. Key organizers including representatives from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! have advanced planning, yet the absence of broader coalition support has left the event vulnerable to cancellation under its own rules if multiple founding groups withdraw. Traders reflect this structural fragmentation in current pricing, viewing unified candidate selection ahead of the 2027 presidential election as improbable without renewed cross-party agreement. Late shifts in Socialist positioning or formal withdrawals could still alter the trajectory before the October deadline.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$202,724Data de Término
11 out 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Major left-wing parties have shown limited commitment to the proposed October 2026 United Left primary, with La France Insoumise and Place Publique declining participation from the outset while the Socialist Party faces internal divisions over alliances and candidate selection following the March 2026 municipal elections. Key organizers including representatives from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! have advanced planning, yet the absence of broader coalition support has left the event vulnerable to cancellation under its own rules if multiple founding groups withdraw. Traders reflect this structural fragmentation in current pricing, viewing unified candidate selection ahead of the 2027 presidential election as improbable without renewed cross-party agreement. Late shifts in Socialist positioning or formal withdrawals could still alter the trajectory before the October deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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