Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-02
$29,043 Vol.
$29,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
6%
$29,043 Vol.
$29,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,335 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$9,708 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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