Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that have kept the seat in GOP hands since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 general election, following a midterm redistricting cycle that further bolstered Republican positioning statewide. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus. A Democratic primary on August 6 features challengers Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr, yet the district's underlying partisan makeup and past presidential results exceeding 29 points for Republicans limit competitive pathways. Significant shifts would require major national realignments or district-specific disruptions capable of overcoming entrenched voting patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-01
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-01
$19,295 Vol.
$19,295 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
4%
$19,295 Vol.
$19,295 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,047 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$5,248 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that have kept the seat in GOP hands since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 general election, following a midterm redistricting cycle that further bolstered Republican positioning statewide. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus. A Democratic primary on August 6 features challengers Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr, yet the district's underlying partisan makeup and past presidential results exceeding 29 points for Republicans limit competitive pathways. Significant shifts would require major national realignments or district-specific disruptions capable of overcoming entrenched voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$19,295Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that have kept the seat in GOP hands since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 general election, following a midterm redistricting cycle that further bolstered Republican positioning statewide. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus. A Democratic primary on August 6 features challengers Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr, yet the district's underlying partisan makeup and past presidential results exceeding 29 points for Republicans limit competitive pathways. Significant shifts would require major national realignments or district-specific disruptions capable of overcoming entrenched voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,295Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that have kept the seat in GOP hands since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger seeks a fourth term in the November 2026 general election, following a midterm redistricting cycle that further bolstered Republican positioning statewide. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus. A Democratic primary on August 6 features challengers Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr, yet the district's underlying partisan makeup and past presidential results exceeding 29 points for Republicans limit competitive pathways. Significant shifts would require major national realignments or district-specific disruptions capable of overcoming entrenched voting patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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