Texas's 33rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic-leaning electorate shaped by urban demographics in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. Marc Veasey's retirement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff produced a strong nominee in former U.S. Representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Rep. Julie Johnson. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent performance in prior cycles and the limited Republican infrastructure or candidate recruitment in a seat with large Democratic margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout collapse, a late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or national political realignment far beyond historical norms for this constituency.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
NOVO
NOVO
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$2,885 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,056 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic-leaning electorate shaped by urban demographics in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. Marc Veasey's retirement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff produced a strong nominee in former U.S. Representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Rep. Julie Johnson. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent performance in prior cycles and the limited Republican infrastructure or candidate recruitment in a seat with large Democratic margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout collapse, a late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or national political realignment far beyond historical norms for this constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$8,941Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic-leaning electorate shaped by urban demographics in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. Marc Veasey's retirement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff produced a strong nominee in former U.S. Representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Rep. Julie Johnson. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent performance in prior cycles and the limited Republican infrastructure or candidate recruitment in a seat with large Democratic margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout collapse, a late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or national political realignment far beyond historical norms for this constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,941Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 33rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic-leaning electorate shaped by urban demographics in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+18. Marc Veasey's retirement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff produced a strong nominee in former U.S. Representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Rep. Julie Johnson. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent performance in prior cycles and the limited Republican infrastructure or candidate recruitment in a seat with large Democratic margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout collapse, a late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or national political realignment far beyond historical norms for this constituency.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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