Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential and Senate candidates. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker advanced to the general election ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The combination of the district's voter composition, Carter's incumbency and committee role, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or turnout patterns underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. An unforeseen national wave, candidate health event, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$44,723 Vol.
$44,723 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
7%
$44,723 Vol.
$44,723 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,263 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$20,461 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential and Senate candidates. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker advanced to the general election ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The combination of the district's voter composition, Carter's incumbency and committee role, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or turnout patterns underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. An unforeseen national wave, candidate health event, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,723Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential and Senate candidates. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker advanced to the general election ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The combination of the district's voter composition, Carter's incumbency and committee role, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or turnout patterns underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. An unforeseen national wave, candidate health event, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,723Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential and Senate candidates. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker advanced to the general election ballot. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The combination of the district's voter composition, Carter's incumbency and committee role, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or turnout patterns underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. An unforeseen national wave, candidate health event, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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