Texas's 31st congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, defeating several challengers and locking in party support. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but confronts limited voter base and fundraising headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in prior elections. With no major polling shifts or campaign events since the primaries, traders assign an 84 percent probability to a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical patterns and the structural advantages currently in place.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Democrata
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,720 Vol.
84%
Partido Democrata
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, defeating several challengers and locking in party support. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but confronts limited voter base and fundraising headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in prior elections. With no major polling shifts or campaign events since the primaries, traders assign an 84 percent probability to a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical patterns and the structural advantages currently in place.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,946Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, defeating several challengers and locking in party support. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but confronts limited voter base and fundraising headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in prior elections. With no major polling shifts or campaign events since the primaries, traders assign an 84 percent probability to a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical patterns and the structural advantages currently in place.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,946Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, defeating several challengers and locking in party support. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but confronts limited voter base and fundraising headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in prior elections. With no major polling shifts or campaign events since the primaries, traders assign an 84 percent probability to a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical patterns and the structural advantages currently in place.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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