Texas's 31st congressional district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with the party holding the seat since its creation and Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker will appear on the November 3 general election ballot, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's partisan baseline. A major national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$45,366 Vol.
$45,366 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
7%
$45,366 Vol.
$45,366 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,905 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$20,461 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with the party holding the seat since its creation and Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker will appear on the November 3 general election ballot, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's partisan baseline. A major national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,366Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with the party holding the seat since its creation and Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker will appear on the November 3 general election ballot, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's partisan baseline. A major national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,366Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with the party holding the seat since its creation and Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker will appear on the November 3 general election ballot, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's partisan baseline. A major national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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