Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Democrata
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,720 Vol.
84%
Partido Democrata
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,946Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,946Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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