Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18, anchored by its urban core in the Hampton Roads region including parts of Norfolk, Hampton, and Newport News. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott holds a clear path to renomination in the August 4 Democratic primary and faces only nominal Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent withdrawal or significant redistricting change before November 3, could still alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18, anchored by its urban core in the Hampton Roads region including parts of Norfolk, Hampton, and Newport News. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott holds a clear path to renomination in the August 4 Democratic primary and faces only nominal Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent withdrawal or significant redistricting change before November 3, could still alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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