The Republican nominee holds an 84.5% implied probability in the NC-03 House race primarily because the district's partisan voting index favors the party by roughly six points and the incumbent benefits from established fundraising and name recognition. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. after a modest turnout contest, yet no polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a competitive general election environment on November 3. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, consistent with the new congressional map adopted in late 2025. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNC-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
NC-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Democrata
14%
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,269 Vol.
85%
Partido Democrata
$4,652 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an 84.5% implied probability in the NC-03 House race primarily because the district's partisan voting index favors the party by roughly six points and the incumbent benefits from established fundraising and name recognition. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. after a modest turnout contest, yet no polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a competitive general election environment on November 3. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, consistent with the new congressional map adopted in late 2025. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,921Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an 84.5% implied probability in the NC-03 House race primarily because the district's partisan voting index favors the party by roughly six points and the incumbent benefits from established fundraising and name recognition. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. after a modest turnout contest, yet no polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a competitive general election environment on November 3. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, consistent with the new congressional map adopted in late 2025. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,921Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds an 84.5% implied probability in the NC-03 House race primarily because the district's partisan voting index favors the party by roughly six points and the incumbent benefits from established fundraising and name recognition. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Raymond Smith Jr. after a modest turnout contest, yet no polling or fundraising data has emerged to suggest a competitive general election environment on November 3. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, consistent with the new congressional map adopted in late 2025. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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