Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 11th congressional district. The Cleveland-centered seat has long favored Democrats, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and Brown's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. The Republican nominee, Mike Kirchner, emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily tilt the field. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though a late national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-11
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-11
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$5,745 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$2,933 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 11th congressional district. The Cleveland-centered seat has long favored Democrats, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and Brown's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. The Republican nominee, Mike Kirchner, emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily tilt the field. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though a late national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$8,678Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 11th congressional district. The Cleveland-centered seat has long favored Democrats, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and Brown's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. The Republican nominee, Mike Kirchner, emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily tilt the field. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though a late national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,678Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 85 percent of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 11th congressional district. The Cleveland-centered seat has long favored Democrats, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and Brown's prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. The Republican nominee, Mike Kirchner, emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily tilt the field. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though a late national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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