Shontel Brown’s status as the Democratic incumbent in Ohio’s 11th district, a seat with a strong D+28 partisan lean centered in Cleveland, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Brown secured the nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, defeating challengers by wide margins and entering the general election against Republican Mike Kirchner with minimal primary turbulence. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reinforced by the post-redistricting map, create significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, election, current conditions show few realistic pathways for the Republican Party to close the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-11
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-11
$27,205 Vol.
$27,205 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
4%
$27,205 Vol.
$27,205 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$11,763 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$15,442 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown’s status as the Democratic incumbent in Ohio’s 11th district, a seat with a strong D+28 partisan lean centered in Cleveland, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Brown secured the nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, defeating challengers by wide margins and entering the general election against Republican Mike Kirchner with minimal primary turbulence. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reinforced by the post-redistricting map, create significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, election, current conditions show few realistic pathways for the Republican Party to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,205Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown’s status as the Democratic incumbent in Ohio’s 11th district, a seat with a strong D+28 partisan lean centered in Cleveland, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Brown secured the nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, defeating challengers by wide margins and entering the general election against Republican Mike Kirchner with minimal primary turbulence. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reinforced by the post-redistricting map, create significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, election, current conditions show few realistic pathways for the Republican Party to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,205Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown’s status as the Democratic incumbent in Ohio’s 11th district, a seat with a strong D+28 partisan lean centered in Cleveland, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Brown secured the nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, defeating challengers by wide margins and entering the general election against Republican Mike Kirchner with minimal primary turbulence. The district’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, reinforced by the post-redistricting map, create significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, election, current conditions show few realistic pathways for the Republican Party to close the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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