John Mannion, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 22nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his incumbency advantage, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $186,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited national Republican investment and the absence of competitive primaries for either candidate. Buller, the Republican nominee on the Conservative line, faces structural headwinds in a Central New York district that includes Syracuse and Utica. Late developments such as significant shifts in national political conditions, major candidate-specific events, or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados de NY-22
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados de NY-22
$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
92%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
$10,907 Vol.
92%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Mannion, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 22nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his incumbency advantage, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $186,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited national Republican investment and the absence of competitive primaries for either candidate. Buller, the Republican nominee on the Conservative line, faces structural headwinds in a Central New York district that includes Syracuse and Utica. Late developments such as significant shifts in national political conditions, major candidate-specific events, or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,266Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Mannion, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 22nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his incumbency advantage, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $186,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited national Republican investment and the absence of competitive primaries for either candidate. Buller, the Republican nominee on the Conservative line, faces structural headwinds in a Central New York district that includes Syracuse and Utica. Late developments such as significant shifts in national political conditions, major candidate-specific events, or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,266Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...John Mannion, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 22nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his incumbency advantage, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $186,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited national Republican investment and the absence of competitive primaries for either candidate. Buller, the Republican nominee on the Conservative line, faces structural headwinds in a Central New York district that includes Syracuse and Utica. Late developments such as significant shifts in national political conditions, major candidate-specific events, or unusually strong Republican mobilization could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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