Maryland's 7th congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the party has consistently secured 75-80% of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume faces a June 23 primary challenge from Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and lesser-known candidates, but ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Scott Collier, has mounted no credible threat. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments this early in the 2026 cycle, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an overwhelming probability of winning the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$15,559 Vol.
$15,559 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
4%
$15,559 Vol.
$15,559 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$9,187 Vol.
88%
Republican Party
$6,372 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the party has consistently secured 75-80% of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume faces a June 23 primary challenge from Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and lesser-known candidates, but ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Scott Collier, has mounted no credible threat. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments this early in the 2026 cycle, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an overwhelming probability of winning the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$15,559Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the party has consistently secured 75-80% of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume faces a June 23 primary challenge from Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and lesser-known candidates, but ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Scott Collier, has mounted no credible threat. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments this early in the 2026 cycle, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an overwhelming probability of winning the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,559Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 7th congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the party has consistently secured 75-80% of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume faces a June 23 primary challenge from Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and lesser-known candidates, but ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Scott Collier, has mounted no credible threat. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments this early in the 2026 cycle, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an overwhelming probability of winning the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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