Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Montgomery County suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces a June 23 Democratic primary against lesser-funded challengers and holds a clear path to the November general election against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of its own primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results and the absence of any major developments that would alter the structural advantage. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national swing not evident in current indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$6,455 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$8,232 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Montgomery County suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces a June 23 Democratic primary against lesser-funded challengers and holds a clear path to the November general election against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of its own primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results and the absence of any major developments that would alter the structural advantage. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national swing not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,688Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Montgomery County suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces a June 23 Democratic primary against lesser-funded challengers and holds a clear path to the November general election against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of its own primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results and the absence of any major developments that would alter the structural advantage. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national swing not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,688Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Montgomery County suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin faces a June 23 Democratic primary against lesser-funded challengers and holds a clear path to the November general election against a Republican field still sorting itself out ahead of its own primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93 percent implied probability, consistent with historical results and the absence of any major developments that would alter the structural advantage. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national swing not evident in current indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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