Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voter base, Raskin’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2 million, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the trajectory. A major unforeseen event, such as a late scandal or health issue, remains the primary theoretical path to shifting the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$27,422 Vol.
$27,422 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
4%
$27,422 Vol.
$27,422 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$18,895 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$8,528 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voter base, Raskin’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2 million, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the trajectory. A major unforeseen event, such as a late scandal or health issue, remains the primary theoretical path to shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,422Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voter base, Raskin’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2 million, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the trajectory. A major unforeseen event, such as a late scandal or health issue, remains the primary theoretical path to shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,422Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voter base, Raskin’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2 million, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the trajectory. A major unforeseen event, such as a late scandal or health issue, remains the primary theoretical path to shifting the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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