Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C., has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republican primary contenders lack comparable fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Raskin's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan voting index, consistent turnout patterns among key voter blocs, and absence of recent developments that would alter its electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or major national shift affecting suburban preferences before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
16%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$6,455 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$8,232 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C., has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republican primary contenders lack comparable fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Raskin's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan voting index, consistent turnout patterns among key voter blocs, and absence of recent developments that would alter its electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or major national shift affecting suburban preferences before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,688Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C., has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republican primary contenders lack comparable fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Raskin's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan voting index, consistent turnout patterns among key voter blocs, and absence of recent developments that would alter its electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or major national shift affecting suburban preferences before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,688Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs of Washington, D.C., has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election on November 3, 2026, faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republican primary contenders lack comparable fundraising or name recognition. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Raskin's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan voting index, consistent turnout patterns among key voter blocs, and absence of recent developments that would alter its electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or major national shift affecting suburban preferences before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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