**April McClain Delaney secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating former Representative David Trone, who self-funded tens of millions in an unsuccessful bid to reclaim the seat he held until 2025.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite its relatively narrow margin compared with other Maryland seats. McClain Delaney won the open seat in 2024 by roughly four points. Republican nominee Robin Ficker, who prevailed in his party’s primary, faces limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans. Forecasters cite the incumbent’s established position, the district’s partisan composition, and historical voting patterns as the primary drivers behind the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide remain the main variables that could alter the trajectory before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$32,975 Vol.
$32,975 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$32,975 Vol.
$32,975 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$20,115 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$12,860 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**April McClain Delaney secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating former Representative David Trone, who self-funded tens of millions in an unsuccessful bid to reclaim the seat he held until 2025.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite its relatively narrow margin compared with other Maryland seats. McClain Delaney won the open seat in 2024 by roughly four points. Republican nominee Robin Ficker, who prevailed in his party’s primary, faces limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans. Forecasters cite the incumbent’s established position, the district’s partisan composition, and historical voting patterns as the primary drivers behind the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide remain the main variables that could alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$32,975Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**April McClain Delaney secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating former Representative David Trone, who self-funded tens of millions in an unsuccessful bid to reclaim the seat he held until 2025.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite its relatively narrow margin compared with other Maryland seats. McClain Delaney won the open seat in 2024 by roughly four points. Republican nominee Robin Ficker, who prevailed in his party’s primary, faces limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans. Forecasters cite the incumbent’s established position, the district’s partisan composition, and historical voting patterns as the primary drivers behind the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide remain the main variables that could alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,975Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**April McClain Delaney secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating former Representative David Trone, who self-funded tens of millions in an unsuccessful bid to reclaim the seat he held until 2025.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite its relatively narrow margin compared with other Maryland seats. McClain Delaney won the open seat in 2024 by roughly four points. Republican nominee Robin Ficker, who prevailed in his party’s primary, faces limited fundraising and structural disadvantages in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans. Forecasters cite the incumbent’s established position, the district’s partisan composition, and historical voting patterns as the primary drivers behind the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide remain the main variables that could alter the trajectory before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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