Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$18,184 Vol.
$18,184 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Adrian Boafo (D)
95%
Chris Chaffee (R)
3%
$18,184 Vol.
$18,184 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Adrian Boafo (D)
$8,754 Vol.
95%
Chris Chaffee (R)
$9,430 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,184Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,184Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions