Maryland's 2nd congressional district, encompassing parts of Baltimore County and the city along with portions of Carroll County, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary with 84.5% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voting history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout or an unforeseen issue affecting Olszewski could narrow margins, though structural factors make such scenarios improbable based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
MD-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$12,596 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,034 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district, encompassing parts of Baltimore County and the city along with portions of Carroll County, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary with 84.5% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voting history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout or an unforeseen issue affecting Olszewski could narrow margins, though structural factors make such scenarios improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,629Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district, encompassing parts of Baltimore County and the city along with portions of Carroll County, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary with 84.5% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voting history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout or an unforeseen issue affecting Olszewski could narrow margins, though structural factors make such scenarios improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,629Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district, encompassing parts of Baltimore County and the city along with portions of Carroll County, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary with 84.5% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's voting history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout or an unforeseen issue affecting Olszewski could narrow margins, though structural factors make such scenarios improbable based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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