Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in June 2026 and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have consistently rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. A July poll showed Harris leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz by 13 points. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan tilt, Harris's incumbency advantage, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. A decisive national Democratic surge, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Eastern Shore counties could narrow margins, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
MD-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$57,840 Vol.
$57,840 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
5%
$57,840 Vol.
$57,840 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$33,314 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$24,526 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in June 2026 and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have consistently rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. A July poll showed Harris leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz by 13 points. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan tilt, Harris's incumbency advantage, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. A decisive national Democratic surge, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Eastern Shore counties could narrow margins, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$57,840Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in June 2026 and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have consistently rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. A July poll showed Harris leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz by 13 points. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan tilt, Harris's incumbency advantage, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. A decisive national Democratic surge, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Eastern Shore counties could narrow margins, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,840Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in June 2026 and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have consistently rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. A July poll showed Harris leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz by 13 points. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan tilt, Harris's incumbency advantage, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance. A decisive national Democratic surge, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Eastern Shore counties could narrow margins, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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