**Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured renomination in Maryland's 1st Congressional District with roughly 80% of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a four-candidate field.** The district, covering Maryland's Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in voter registration and past results. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency strength, and limited Democratic momentum. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
MD-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$57,840 Vol.
$57,840 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
5%
$57,840 Vol.
$57,840 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$33,314 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$24,526 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured renomination in Maryland's 1st Congressional District with roughly 80% of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a four-candidate field.** The district, covering Maryland's Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in voter registration and past results. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency strength, and limited Democratic momentum. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$57,840Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured renomination in Maryland's 1st Congressional District with roughly 80% of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a four-candidate field.** The district, covering Maryland's Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in voter registration and past results. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency strength, and limited Democratic momentum. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,840Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured renomination in Maryland's 1st Congressional District with roughly 80% of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, while Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a four-candidate field.** The district, covering Maryland's Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in voter registration and past results. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency strength, and limited Democratic momentum. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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