The competitive Hudson Valley district's toss-up status drives Polymarket pricing, with the Democratic nominee favored at 71% to defeat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Lawler holds a narrow prior margin in this swing seat rated Lean Republican to Toss-up by forecasters, yet Democrats view it as a prime pickup opportunity amid national midterm dynamics. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring frontrunner Cait Conley ahead in recent polls and endorsements over Beth Davidson and others, represents the immediate catalyst; the winner will shape the general election matchup. Fundraising edges and early polling favor Democratic prospects, though the race remains sensitive to nominee strength, turnout patterns, and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara de NY-17
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara de NY-17
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
63%
Partido Republicano
36%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$304 Vol.
63%
Partido Republicano
$178 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive Hudson Valley district's toss-up status drives Polymarket pricing, with the Democratic nominee favored at 71% to defeat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Lawler holds a narrow prior margin in this swing seat rated Lean Republican to Toss-up by forecasters, yet Democrats view it as a prime pickup opportunity amid national midterm dynamics. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring frontrunner Cait Conley ahead in recent polls and endorsements over Beth Davidson and others, represents the immediate catalyst; the winner will shape the general election matchup. Fundraising edges and early polling favor Democratic prospects, though the race remains sensitive to nominee strength, turnout patterns, and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$481Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive Hudson Valley district's toss-up status drives Polymarket pricing, with the Democratic nominee favored at 71% to defeat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Lawler holds a narrow prior margin in this swing seat rated Lean Republican to Toss-up by forecasters, yet Democrats view it as a prime pickup opportunity amid national midterm dynamics. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring frontrunner Cait Conley ahead in recent polls and endorsements over Beth Davidson and others, represents the immediate catalyst; the winner will shape the general election matchup. Fundraising edges and early polling favor Democratic prospects, though the race remains sensitive to nominee strength, turnout patterns, and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$481Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive Hudson Valley district's toss-up status drives Polymarket pricing, with the Democratic nominee favored at 71% to defeat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Lawler holds a narrow prior margin in this swing seat rated Lean Republican to Toss-up by forecasters, yet Democrats view it as a prime pickup opportunity amid national midterm dynamics. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring frontrunner Cait Conley ahead in recent polls and endorsements over Beth Davidson and others, represents the immediate catalyst; the winner will shape the general election matchup. Fundraising edges and early polling favor Democratic prospects, though the race remains sensitive to nominee strength, turnout patterns, and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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