Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-02
$91,632 Vol.
$91,632 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
97%
Partido Republicano
4%
$91,632 Vol.
$91,632 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$53,966 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$37,666 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$91,632Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$91,632Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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