The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, reflected in its R+8 partisan voter index and consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 78.5%. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman, who won 61.2% in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge while Democrats field multiple contenders ahead of their August 11 primary, with fundraising and organizational efforts concentrated among several candidates yet showing limited path to victory in the general election. Historical voting patterns, with no Democratic win since 1964, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-06
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-06
$19,242 Vol.
$19,242 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
17%
$19,242 Vol.
$19,242 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$10,624 Vol.
79%
Democratic Party
$8,617 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, reflected in its R+8 partisan voter index and consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 78.5%. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman, who won 61.2% in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge while Democrats field multiple contenders ahead of their August 11 primary, with fundraising and organizational efforts concentrated among several candidates yet showing limited path to victory in the general election. Historical voting patterns, with no Democratic win since 1964, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$19,242Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, reflected in its R+8 partisan voter index and consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 78.5%. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman, who won 61.2% in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge while Democrats field multiple contenders ahead of their August 11 primary, with fundraising and organizational efforts concentrated among several candidates yet showing limited path to victory in the general election. Historical voting patterns, with no Democratic win since 1964, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,242Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, reflected in its R+8 partisan voter index and consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 78.5%. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman, who won 61.2% in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge while Democrats field multiple contenders ahead of their August 11 primary, with fundraising and organizational efforts concentrated among several candidates yet showing limited path to victory in the general election. Historical voting patterns, with no Democratic win since 1964, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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