The open seat created by Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP margins above 20 points underpins the 82.5% Republican implied probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s northwestern Wisconsin electorate and past results. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso with a Trump endorsement and notable fundraising, strengthen the party’s position ahead of the August 11 primary. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a low-turnout environment favoring the majority party, with limited recent polling or developments altering the baseline outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-07
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-07
$20,019 Vol.
$20,019 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Democrata
18%
$20,019 Vol.
$20,019 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,500 Vol.
83%
Partido Democrata
$10,519 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP margins above 20 points underpins the 82.5% Republican implied probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s northwestern Wisconsin electorate and past results. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso with a Trump endorsement and notable fundraising, strengthen the party’s position ahead of the August 11 primary. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a low-turnout environment favoring the majority party, with limited recent polling or developments altering the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$20,019Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP margins above 20 points underpins the 82.5% Republican implied probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s northwestern Wisconsin electorate and past results. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso with a Trump endorsement and notable fundraising, strengthen the party’s position ahead of the August 11 primary. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a low-turnout environment favoring the majority party, with limited recent polling or developments altering the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,019Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP margins above 20 points underpins the 82.5% Republican implied probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s northwestern Wisconsin electorate and past results. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso with a Trump endorsement and notable fundraising, strengthen the party’s position ahead of the August 11 primary. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a low-turnout environment favoring the majority party, with limited recent polling or developments altering the baseline outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions