The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the VA-11 House race, reflecting the district's deep partisan tilt in Northern Virginia's suburban Fairfax County areas and incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 2025 special election victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote. Walkinshaw faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and a Republican nominee in Arthur Purves who has shown limited fundraising and organizational strength. Analyst ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical results in the district make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa VA-11
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa VA-11
$18,982 Vol.
$18,982 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$18,982 Vol.
$18,982 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$12,280 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$6,702 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the VA-11 House race, reflecting the district's deep partisan tilt in Northern Virginia's suburban Fairfax County areas and incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 2025 special election victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote. Walkinshaw faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and a Republican nominee in Arthur Purves who has shown limited fundraising and organizational strength. Analyst ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical results in the district make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,982Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the VA-11 House race, reflecting the district's deep partisan tilt in Northern Virginia's suburban Fairfax County areas and incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 2025 special election victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote. Walkinshaw faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and a Republican nominee in Arthur Purves who has shown limited fundraising and organizational strength. Analyst ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical results in the district make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,982Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the VA-11 House race, reflecting the district's deep partisan tilt in Northern Virginia's suburban Fairfax County areas and incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 2025 special election victory with roughly 75 percent of the vote. Walkinshaw faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and a Republican nominee in Arthur Purves who has shown limited fundraising and organizational strength. Analyst ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical results in the district make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions